Saturday, March 23, 2019
Intelligence Collection and Analysis Essay -- Research
up(a) the RelationshipThis paper leave behind detail how I would explain to my policymaker what the mental barriers atomic number 18 for word of honor collection and analysis. Next, I will provide an blood line as to what types of rigors argon postulateed to improve intelligence analysis reservation it much reliable. Finally, I will persuade the policymaker to contribute my argument in order to receive more funding in order to accomplish the type of improvements I have defined. Policymakers need to regard that psychopsychoanalysts face mental obstacles in four key stages of the analytical process, which are making theorys, organize judgments, confronting organizational norms, and substantive judgments. (George and Bruce, 2008) When an analyst makes a judgment based on inconclusive evidence the probability that a awe will carry on add-ons. These judgments are made under some backwardness that restricts the analyst from verifying or even receiving further evide nce to get together or negate the current judgment. (George and Bruce, 2008) When analysts coordinate judgments with other analysts and managers, other agendas and biases are introduced into the analysis. Analyst need to be informed of the organizations expectations of the analysis. indispensable judgments occur when an analysts ethics force the analyst to turn out the agendas of the policymakers and to be import judgments based on the evidence. (George and Bruce, 2008) All these psychological obstacles to ripe judgment are clouded by complexity, uncertainty, and secrecy. Cognitive biases are distortions in information impact created by worldview, ideology, or political preference. (George and Bruce, 2008) The mindset of the analyst is the accumulated acquaintance of past behav... ...s. Policymakers need to allow additional time, increase analyst-staffing levels, and provide ruin direction to analysts so that judgments will become sounder. By developing improve communications between the analysts and the policymaker the judgments will be more useful. These improvements are require to increase the quality and timeliness of judgments. Works CitedGeorge, Roger., Bruce, James. (Eds.). (2008) Analyzing cognition Origins, Obstacles, and Innovations. Washington, D.C. Georgetown University Press.Heuer, Richards. (1999). Psychology of learning Analysis. Retrieved November 28, 2010 from http//www.dtic.mil/cgibin/GetTRDoc?AD=ADA500078&Location=U2&doc=GetTRDoc.pdfledzapp461. (2005, December 22). Orson swell Paul Masson Commercial. Retrieved November 29, 2010. From http//www.youtube.com/ watch?v=bpj0t2ozPWY&feature=related Intelligence Collection and Analysis canvas -- ResearchImproving the RelationshipThis paper will detail how I would explain to my policymaker what the psychological barriers are for intelligence collection and analysis. Next, I will provide an argument as to what types of rigors are needed to improve intelli gence analysis making it more reliable. Finally, I will persuade the policymaker to support my argument in order to receive more funding in order to implement the type of improvements I have defined. Policymakers need to understand that analysts face psychological obstacles in four key stages of the analytical process, which are making judgments, coordinating judgments, confronting organizational norms, and substantive judgments. (George and Bruce, 2008) When an analyst makes a judgment based on inconclusive evidence the probability that a surprise will occur increases. These judgments are made under some constraint that restricts the analyst from verifying or even receiving further evidence to collaborate or disprove the current judgment. (George and Bruce, 2008) When analysts coordinate judgments with other analysts and managers, other agendas and biases are introduced into the analysis. Analyst need to be informed of the organizations expectations of the analysis. Substa ntive judgments occur when an analysts ethics force the analyst to ignore the agendas of the policymakers and to be write judgments based on the evidence. (George and Bruce, 2008) All these psychological obstacles to sound judgment are clouded by complexity, uncertainty, and secrecy. Cognitive biases are distortions in information processing created by worldview, ideology, or political preference. (George and Bruce, 2008) The mindset of the analyst is the accumulated knowledge of past behav... ...s. Policymakers need to allow additional time, increase analyst-staffing levels, and provide better direction to analysts so that judgments will become sounder. By developing improved communications between the analysts and the policymaker the judgments will be more useful. These improvements are needed to increase the quality and timeliness of judgments. Works CitedGeorge, Roger., Bruce, James. (Eds.). (2008) Analyzing Intelligence Origins, Obstacles, and Innovations. Washington, D.C. Georgetown University Press.Heuer, Richards. (1999). Psychology of Intelligence Analysis. Retrieved November 28, 2010 from http//www.dtic.mil/cgibin/GetTRDoc?AD=ADA500078&Location=U2&doc=GetTRDoc.pdfledzapp461. (2005, December 22). Orson Welles Paul Masson Commercial. Retrieved November 29, 2010. From http//www.youtube.com/watch?v=bpj0t2ozPWY&feature=related
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